Stats Geek: Do Falmouth’s home runs translate into wins?

By Meredith Perri/Field Reporter

Cameron O'Brien congratulates Conner Hale after his first home run of the season. Photo by Liz Baker
Cameron O’Brien congratulates Conner Hale after his first home run of the season. Photo by Liz Baker

Today’s question: What is the Commodore’s record when the team has at least one home run in a game?

Answer: The Falmouth Commodores are a little more than halfway through the 2013 Cape Cod Baseball League season, and the team is dominating offensively. Falmouth leads the league in batting average (.263), runs (149), RBIs (125), hits (259) and, of course, home runs with 20.

Before checking in on the Commodore’s winning percentage when they go yard, though, here is a closer look a the team’s home-run hitting power.

The bulk of the Commodores moon shots came during a five game span in the beginning of July. From July 3 to July 8, Falmouth had 13 home runs. Out of those 13, 12 came off the bats of Falmouth’s 4-5-6 batters: Casey Gillaspie (Wichita State University), Dylan Davis (Oregon State University) and Kevin Cron (Texas Christian University). The other home run came from the Commodores’ No. 7 hitter, Conner Hale (State College of Florida).

Gillaspie and Davis, who each have five round-trippers, are tied for the league lead in home runs with Bourne’s Max Pentecost (Kennesaw State University) and Cotuit’s Mike Ford, who penned a contract with the New York Yankees earlier this week. Cron and Rhys Hoskins (Sacramento State University) have four home runs a piece.

This means that the Commodores 3-through-6 hitters actually have more home runs than every team in the league except for Cotuit, which is tied with the middle of Falmouth’s lineup with 18.

So, do these home runs translate into Falmouth wins?

Generally, yes. When Falmouth does not hit a home run, its record is 8-9, but if just one person on the team notches one over the fence, the Commodores’ record shoots up to 8-3. If the team has more than one home run, they are 4-1.

Oddly enough, the one game that the Commodores lost when they had more than two long balls was the game they registered their most home runs on the season with four. Gillaspie and Davis each had one, and Cron hit two, but the Commodores bullpen could not put a stop to a late-inning comeback by the Harwich Mariners.

Have a question about the Falmouth Commodores? Click on the “Contact Us” button at the top right of your screen, and let us know! We will answer your questions on the Commodores Blog throughout the season. 

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